PRETTY GOOD, BOB(rovsky)! (5.13.25): Stanley Cup Playoff update, PGA Championship “picks”, and release us from the NFL Schedule

On Tuesday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at how things are going in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

The “buzz around the range” about the Maple Leafs is that they “look like the old Leafs,” but is that really true? We dig into the metrics comparing Games 1 and 2 with Games 3 and 4, before looking at how the betting market has found its way to the current odds for what is now a “best of three” series, and why they’re wider than before Game 1.

Our bet on the Hurricanes (-150) to win their series over the Capitals is in great shape, but it’s come with the market being overbought on Carolina. When is it right to back the underdog while holding a series ticket on the favorite?

The market has finally caught up to the Oilers ahead of Game 5, why parsing through the circumstances for Game 3 and 4 was the key to good betting. 

Speaking of price-shopping, the Stars were valuable in Game 3 compared to our target pricing listed in the Dallas-Winnipeg series preview. With the Stars up to -150 for Game 4, is that a sign of the return of Miro Heiskanen?

Plus, in a podcast-only feature, Matt looks at the Conn Smythe Trophy market, confused about how the some sportsbooks are treating our super-sneaky, super-longshot.

Matt weighs in on the leak-fest that is the NFL schedule release - why that’s more for the fans than the bettors, and that’s OK. 

Plus, it’s time for another reminder about the best way to attack golf betting with another major this week - the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow. Matt’s got six picks to keep an eye for the win, and six more for the top-20 markets. 

It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go!

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