In this episode, Darius Dale of 42Macro joins the show to discuss Trump transitioning the US economy to a new paradigm, the potential for a recession and its impact on markets, and the threat of a debt refinancing air pocket. We also delve into why the Fed needs to transition to QE, how to approach portfolio allocation and risk management, and more. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:06) Key Market Narratives
(04:03) Trump's Economic Vision
(13:28) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(14:39) Trump's Economic Vision (Con't)
(16:02) Technical vs. Actual Recession
(20:02) Credit Cycle and Market Positioning
(25:13) Market Pricing for Recession
(30:15) Fiscal Policy and Tax Cuts
(32:39) Ads (Ondo, Ledger)
(33:54) Federal Reserve's Mandates and QE
(37:26) Global Liquidity and Debt Refinancing
(43:50) Portfolio Construction and Risk Management
(47:34) KISS Portfolio System
(52:29) Managing Different Opinions & Systematic Investing
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.