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Fallout From the Fed Not North Korea Shocked the Markets – Ep. 129

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
The Peter Schiff Show Podcast
Episode • Jan 7, 2016 • 32m


* Well the Dow Jones got clobbered again today, down 252 points at the close

* The NASDAQ down about 55

* The transports continue to get clobbered down another 146 points, decisively in bear market territory

* CNBC blamed the entire decline on jitters over North Korea's hydrogen bomb test

* I admit that this prospect is not good, but I don't believe that announcement was the reason for the decline

* The real problem is the Fed removing the monetary herion from the addicts on Wall Street and this is the withdrawal

* Former President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, spoke on CNBC yesterday and he admitted that the Fed "engineered a stock market rally"

* They wanted all this phony wealth to cause us to make irrational decisions

* That's what happened during the dot com bubble and to a greater extent during the housing bubble

* Here you have it from the words of a former Fed president, a voting member who voted for QE 1 & 2 who is saying that the Fed did this to create a "wealth effect"

* He even said, don't be surprised if the market goes down 20% - it's still overvalued - he admits the Fed was propping it up

* Obviously if the Fed removes the props the market will go down

* After Simon Hobbs asked Fisher if he is going to apologize, he said," Don't blame me, I voted against QE3!"

* He is throwing his colleagues, including Janet Yellen, under the bus

* Now that he is no longer at the Fed, he refers to it as a "giant weapon that is out of ammunition"

* The Fed still has ammo: cut rates (in this case, even to negative) and QE4, their big bazooka

* There's plenty of ammo left and it will be fired a lot sooner than people think

* Korea is an excuse, but Richard Fisher is letting the cat out of the bag, but no one in the media is picking up on this

* Also in the markets today, while stocks were going down, gold was going up - gold hit a 2-month high today

* As fast as it is going up in dollars, it is going up even faster in other currencies, like the Canadian dollar, which hit a 9-year low, the Australian dollar

* The yen was up - the dollar/yen is breaking down - to me that is a very scary proposition for the markets to see this strength in the Japanese yen

* Oil prices continued to drop, down another $2 today - we're trading below $34

* Gold stocks were up - you'd think they would be up a lot more because mining costs are plunging and revenue is going up, but Wall Street is oblivious to the bargains that exist in the mining stocks

* We got a lot of economic news today and most of it was, as is typically the case, bad

* Yesterday vehicle sales were at a 6-month low

* Last year was a record for auto sales, but December was a 6-month low despite all the Christmas giveaways

* Meanwhile the inventory to sales ratio continues to rise - a new high since the 2008-2009 great recession

* Also GM got clobbered today, down about 4% - already down 9% for the year and down more than 20% from its 52-wk high - that is a bear market

* This is telling me that the auto bubble has popped

* There are going to be a lot of layoffs in the auto sector - good, high-paying jobs

* I have said that starting in January 2016 we would start to see layoffs because the numbers have been horrible

* Sure enough, Macy's today announced a restructuring, laying off thousands of workers because of disappointing sales throughout the year

* We will see a huge blow-up in the securitized market for auto loans

* They layoffs are coming - the low unemployment number is the rear view mirror

* Looking at the actual economy in the windshield is a disaster for jobs

* This is deja vu - in 2008 the subprime market had already exploded - the housing market problems should have bee...

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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast • Fallout From the Fed Not North Korea Shocked the Markets – Ep. 129 • Listen on Fountain