Worst Recovery Since WWII Just Got Worse – Ep. 99

Worst Recovery Since WWII Just Got Worse – Ep. 99

The Peter Schiff Show Podcast



* This morning we got the first look at Q2 GDP

* Q1 had been reported most recently at -.2

* Everybody was looking for an upward revision due to the double seasonal adjustments

* The revision brought Q1 into the black, but only by .6

* Q2 expectation was 2.9; instead it came in at 2.3

* I had mentioned that at best, Q2 GDP would be in the low 2's, which is what we have

* After revisions, however, we could end up at below 2 for Q2

* Wall Street and the Fed were too optimistic about Q2

* Now previous GDP years have been revised, with the net effect of lowering U.S. GDP growth almost 1 percentage point for the past three years

* After revisions, the average growth rate is 2% per year

* 2015 Q1 & Q2 average GDP growth rate is just 1.45%

* The worst first half of the "recovery"

* What is the point of raising rates now, when the economy is at its weakest?

* The Fed is still waiting to see improvements in the labor market

* Unemployment is low

* The Fed is waiting to see increases in wage growth and in labor force participation

* It is unlikely that there will be more part-time workers finding full time jobs

* The Fed is still putting on a show, pretending that a rate hike will be appropriats

* This recovery is the weakest recovery in the modern era, since WWII

* We have had the most Keynesian monetary stimulus ever

* The Keynesians will not consider that their policies are an economic sedative

* Even though this is the biggest economic ever, the Keynesians still want more

* Redbook Year-Over-Year Same Store Sales rose by just 1%

* Last year, the year-over-year growth was 3%

* Pundits blame poor retail sales on "hot weather"

* People aren't shopping because they aren't making enough money

* The U.S. home ownership rate fell to a new low of 63.4%

* The result of government efforts to increase home ownership is the the lowest rate since 1967

* Rental prices are at an all time record high

* July Consumer Confidence plunged from 99.8 in June to 90.9 in July

* As evidence continues to pour in that the U.S. economy is weaker than the government and the press report, the dollar remains high

* Gold is not getting a rally from the economic news

* Shorting of gold by speculators is a dangerous game, as there is no indication that the price of gold overvalued

* It's not the traders who are buying gold. It's the strong, long-term holders that are doing all the buying


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The Peter Schiff Show Podcast • Worst Recovery Since WWII Just Got Worse – Ep. 99 • Listen on Fountain