Wall Street Lingo: What Is the PCE and Why You Should Care
Welcome to Wall Street Lingo, a Buy Hold Sell spin-off where Todd M. Schoenberger breaks down complex financial terms into everyday language. In this episode, Todd demystifies the PCE—Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge used to guide interest rate decisions.
You’ll learn:
- What the PCE measures: how PCE tracks the prices of goods and services consumed by individuals and nonprofits.
- Why it matters: the Federal Reserve targets a 2% annual inflation rate, with the core PCE excluding food and energy as its key barometer.
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Recent readings:
- June 2025 headline PCE rose by 0.3% month-over-month, driving the annual change to +2.6%.
- Core PCE (excluding food & energy) also increased 0.3% for the month, resulting in a 2.8% year-over-year rise.
- Year-over-year core PCE clocked in at 2.79% in June 2025, modestly up from 2.76% in May.
- What’s next: The next PCE data release is scheduled for August 29, 2025, marking a critical readout for investors and policymakers alike.
By the end, you’ll understand how the PCE influences Fed policy, and how even a one-tenth of a percent move can impact Wall Street—and your wallet.
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