The Rising Risks In The Private Credit Lending Bonanza | Andrzej Skiba
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(00:50) What Is Private Credit?
(07:51) Private Credit Is Doing The Riskiest Deals In Leveraged Finance
(16:04) How Will Private Credit Perform If Defaults Pick-Up? (Very Little Data In Previous Cycles Because The Asset Class Has Grown So Much)
(19:24) Private Credit Is Very Illiquid
(20:54) Debt Covenants In Private Credit Are, Admittedly, Usually Very Strong
(26:31) VanEck Ad
(27:14) Interplay Between Private Credit and Rest of Fixed Income Universe
(32:35) Private Equity Is Using Private Credit To Pay Itself Via Dividend Recaps
(35:13) Private Credit Is Refinancing Some Of The Riskiest Deals In Leveraged Loan Market, Which Perhaps May Be Bullish For Leveraged Loan (& High-Yield Bond) Market
(38:00) Default Outlook In High-Yield Bond And Leveraged Loan Market
(43:09) Moderately Bullish View On Duration (I.e. Rates)
(58:43) Maturity Wall High-Yield Bond Is Very, Very Termed Out
(01:02:56) Opportunities In Securitized Products Market Appear Interesting
(01:04:57) Single Borrower Commercial Real Estate Loan Market Offers Interesting Opportunities To Fundamental Credit Investors
(01:07:48) Most Common Investing Mistake In Credit: Herd Mentality
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.