Prediction markets are turning into real-time intelligence, and policymakers are already reacting. In this week’s Weekly Rollup, Ryan and David unpack the Venezuela “Maduro” trade, the debate over fairness vs. public signal, and Polymarket’s expansion into real estate markets. They also cover Bitcoin’s lowest-vol year ever, Solana’s DEX surge, Ethereum’s stablecoin settlement ATH, Morgan Stanley’s crypto ETF filings, Zcash’s governance blowup, Lighter’s massive $LIT airdrop, Vitalik’s “trilemma solved” claim, Wyoming’s state stablecoin, and Strategy’s path toward major indices.---📣ZAMA | $ZAMA PUBLIC AUCTION https://bankless.cc/zama-auction---BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS:🔮POLYMARKET | #1 PREDICTION MARKEThttps://bankless.cc/polymarket-podcast👑BANKLESS PREMIUM | AD-FREE & BONUS EPISODEShttps://bankless.cc/spotify-premium🎯THE DEFI REPORT | ONCHAIN INSIGHTShttps://bankless.cc/the-defi-report💰ICO WATCH | UPCOMING PUBLIC TOKEN SALEShttps://bankless.cc/ico-watch---TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES0:00 Intro2:49 Marketshttps://www.linkedin.com/pulse/2025-ray-dalio-kaf8e/https://x.com/dampedspring/status/2008568524046991733https://www.coinglass.com/pro/i/blhttps://www.dlnews.com/articles/regulation/bitcoin-least-volatile-year/https://x.com/NTmoney/status/2007111582317215767https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/2007167084980044071https://x.com/smyyguy/status/2009282261384888407https://x.com/Cointelegraph/status/2007980573365502161https://x.com/ericbalchunas/status/2008527564550156315https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/2008926447205843202https://x.com/Matt_Hougan/status/200854234742514924714:03 Did Polymarket reveal the Venezuela invasion hours prior the announcement?https://www.war.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/4370431/trump-announces-us-militarys-capture-of-maduro/https://x.com/JoePompliano/status/2007455311351718118https://x.com/0xKelle/status/2008099287851561262https://x.com/JakeSherman/status/2007497192974459372https://x.com/QuiverQuant/status/2008029132484206664https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/2008245382539882784https://x.com/zoomerfied/status/200818492437796050225:41 Polymarket Market of the Week27:42 ZEC dump and resignation https://x.com/solidintel_x/status/2009172254496870816https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/200923584175161366031:05 Lighter launched the Lighter Infrastructure Tokenhttps://x.com/Lighter_xyz/status/2005862682608472263https://x.com/bubblemaps/status/2006296418622001313https://defillama.com/protocol/perps/lighter-perpshttps://x.com/Lighter_xyz/status/200830904778775349735:27 Has Ethereum resolved the blockchain trilemma? https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2007559523528233041https://x.com/ralexstokes/status/2008707458563535022https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/2008174642066845778https://x.com/dankrad/status/200846629191326544345:49 SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw resignedhttps://x.com/EleanorTerrett/status/200719593540384786846:32 Major US retailers are accepting crypto paymentshttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/walmart-starbucks-more-accepting-crypto-202205775.html48:14 Wyoming launches first US state-issued stablecoinhttps://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/200895857496202892450:00 MSCI decided not to exclude DATs from their indexeshttps://www.msci.com/indexes/index-resources/index-announcements51:28 Closing & Disclaimers ---Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:https://www.bankless.com/disclosures