Support our mission to provide fearless stories about and outside the media system
Packed with exclusive investigations, analysis, and features…
SUBSCRIBE TODAY
Polling from the Economist/YouGov and the Washington Post shows that contrary to President Donald Trump's demand for Iranian unconditional surrender, most Americans oppose involvement in the conflict between Iran and Israel and do not see the Iranian nuclear program as an immediate threat to the United States. Even Republicans who normally fall in lockstep behind Trump break from him on the issue of war with Iran.
The Economist/YouGov polling finds that 60% of respondents believe that the "US military should not get involved in the conflict between Israel and Iran". Democrats (65%) and Independent voters (61%) are especially disapproving of US involvement in the Israel/Iran conflict.
Most significantly for the Trump team, 53% of Republican voters don't not want to see the US get involved in the developing conflict.
Given the current polarised state of American politics, the fact that Democrats, Republicans, and Independent voters all oppose American involvement in the conflict is incredibly significant.
Americans aged 65-plus, who are most likely to turn out in next year's midterm election, are especially opposed to US involvement at 69%.
In Washington Post polling, a 45% plurality say they "oppose the US military launching airstrikes against Iran over its nuclear program," while one in four (25%) say they support military strikes.
Almost a third (30%) are unsure how the US should respond. Two-thirds (66%) of Democrats oppose military strikes on Iran as do 44% of Independents. A 47% plurality of GOP voters support military strikes.
Raining on his Parade: Trump's Military Blunder
A clear majority of Americans are opposed to the US President's army parade, and his handling of immigration and the economy
Martin Burns
The bottom line in the Washington Post data is that military action against Iran is not even supported by a majority of GOP voters.
While Americans are opposed to US involvement in the Israel/Iran conflict, how do they feel about the Iranian nuclear program and is there a reservoir of fear and distrust that Trump could tap into to support American involvement in the conflict?
The short answer is, no.
Just under one in four (24%) of respondents in the Economist/YouGov polling see the Iranian nuclear program as an immediate and serious threat to the US. Republican voters are more likely (32% immediate and serious threat) to feel threatened by the Iranian nuclear program, though the number is far short of a majority.
The data from the Washington Post poll confirms what the Economist/YouGov polling finds: a majority of Americans do not see Iran's nuclear program as "an immediate and serious threat". Just over one in five (22%) do; 48% view it as a "somewhat serious threat".
JD Vance's 'British Sherpa' Chairs Organisation Funded by Billionaires Urging a Second US Civil War
The man described as the Vice President's "philosopher king" is linked to a series of right-wing billionaires who have condemned democracy and called for a "limited dictatorship" in the US
Olly Haynes
Complementing reluctance to get involved militarily in the Israel/Iran conflict, in the Economist/YouGov polling, 56% support the US engaging in negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Significantly, 63% of those who said they voted for Trump in 2024 support negotiation with Iran.
When asked in the Economist/YouGov polling what options the US should pursue in dealing with the Iranian nuclear program, 28% say that the United States should threaten Iran with harsher economic sanctions, 26% say incentivise Iran with resumption of diplomatic relations, and 24% support incentivising Iran by the easing of economic sanctions.
Less than one in five (18%) say that the US should threaten Iran with the use of military force. Incentivising Iran with a guarantee of no use of military force is the pr...