🧭 MSTR True North episode 38: Soleil & Dan breakdown Strategy’s credit stack, BTC accumulation strategy, preferreds, rate risk, and AI macro themes dissected. Topics also include Strike, Strife, Stretch, MSTR mNAV, BTC vs gold, and Fed policy. 🎛️ As of this recording, 8/27/25, Strategy's (MSTR) performance:
Open: $348.68
Close: $342.06
Volume: 8,379,611 shares
mNAV: 1.56
Market Cap: ~97.36B
U.S. Market Cap Ranking: 108
BTC: 632,457
⏱️ TIMESTAMPS & INSIGHTS:
00:00:00 - Intro: filtering out the noise and providing signal
00:03:19 - Macro Indicators: Services PMI ties to BTC moves
00:05:42 - Spot BTC Positioning: Low leverage, resilient long-term strategy
00:12:25 - Duration gap: whats the next pref flavor to fill the gap
00:14:23 - Labor Market & Fed Pivot: Weak payrolls, yield curve, rate cut setup
00:18:55- AI’s attack on jobs: Bitcoin is the only way to capture the deflationary effects
00:22:12 - Inflation Outlook & Fed: Tariffs, base case, policy shift
00:25:38 - Bitcoin vs Gold Thesis: BTC outperformance, gold lag on inflation
00:30:07 - MNAVs & Fear Index: Sentiment tools, credit signals, BTC risk
00:33:17 - Stretch Yield Mechanics: Monthly coupon, par targeting strategy
00:37:40 - S&P 500 Inclusion Odds: Market betting, mispriced probabilities
00:40:33 - BTC Valuation Frameworks: Minor breakevens, long-dated call logic
00:43:46 - MSTR Capital Forecast: Preferreds, ATM issuance, $175B growth thesis
SOCIAL MEDIA:
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X: https://x.com/hillery_dan
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MSTR TRUE NORTH LINKS:
True North Website: https://www.mstrtruenorth.com
X: https://x.com/MSTRTrueNorth
🛒 MERCH: https://thehodlshop.com/collections/t...
Youtube: @MSTRTrueNorth
MSTR Links:
https://www.mstr-tracker.com
https://saylortracker.com/
https://robinhood.com/us/en/stocks/MSTR/
https://www.strategy.com/
Disclaimer: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. We are not financial advisors, and you should consult with a qualified professional before making any financial decisions. All investments involve risks, and you are responsible for your own decisions.
• True North does not intend for anything herein to be considered an offer or sale of any securities, including those of Strive. True North encourages listeners to consult with their tax and investment advisors. Additional information on any securities or issuers referenced herein can be found in such issuers’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”), including any registration statements, prospectuses and prospectus supplements for each issuers’ securities. Listeners should read such documents and other documents incorporated by reference therein or that such issuer has filed with the SEC for more complete information. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC website at www.sec.gov.
Any securities referred to herein, including those of True North’s parent Strive, are not collateralized by underlying bitcoin holdings and may be subordinated to senior claims. There are no guarantee of returns liquidity or future performance. The securities referred to herein are neither bank deposits, nor FDIC insured, nor regulated in the same way, and do not have the same regulatory and other protections as bank accounts, money market funds, treasuries, or similar investments and as a result may not be comparable investments. Current trading prices and effective yields may vary, current rates are not indicative of future rates, and in some cases rates are subject to frequent adjustments and may be significantly lower than discussed herein. Cash dividends are not guaranteed. In some cases, dividends have not been paid and may not be paid in the future. Ownership of securities referred to in herein does not confer ownership in the underlying assets, including bitcoin.
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